Those who collect or play the Japanese edition of the ONE PIECE Card Game are often interested in the pull rates (hit rates) – that is, the probabilities with which certain rarities appear in Boosters, Displays, and Cases. In this article, we summarize the community experiences and unofficial probabilities. Bandai does not officially publish exact rates.
1. Rarities in the ONE PIECE Card Game
- R / SR – regular and Super Rare cards
- SEC – Secret Rares
- Leader & Leader Parallels
- Parallels – alternative artworks or borders
- Manga Rare – extremely rare, collector’s highlight
2. Pull Rates per Display (24 Booster packs)
Note: These figures are community experience values and vary depending on the set and production batch.
| Rarity | Average per Display | Note |
|---|---|---|
| SR | 4–5 cards | relatively constant |
| SEC | 0–1 card | about every 2nd–3rd Display |
| Parallels | 1–2 cards | including Leader Parallels |
| Manga Rare | almost never | expected more on a case basis |
3. Pull Rates per Case (12 Displays)
When buying a complete Case (12 Displays), the following trends emerge:
| Rarity | Average per Case | Note |
|---|---|---|
| SR | approx. 50 cards | Sum across all Displays |
| SEC | 4–6 cards | not guaranteed to be evenly distributed |
| Parallels | 14–20 cards | including various variants |
| Manga Rare | 0–1 card | sometimes 2, sometimes none |
4. Calculating probabilities
The probability of pulling at least one specific card or rarity from n opened Boosters can be roughly estimated with the following formula:
P(≥1 hit) = 1 - (1 - p)^n
- Example: hit chance per Booster = 5% (p = 0.05)
- With 24 Boosters (1 Display): 1 - 0.95^24 ≈ 70%
- With 288 Boosters (1 Case): mathematically almost 100% (no guarantee in practice)
5. Tips for Collectors & Buyers
- Search specifically for single cards if only a certain Rare is needed.
- Displays are worthwhile to pull a wide variety of Rares.
- Cases increase the chances of a Manga Rare – but are not a guarantee.
- Community reports on the latest sets provide valuable clues about deviations.
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